Lukas Beinhauer @LBnhr@qoto.org

Initial impression of Mastodon…
(image source thanks to @jsit: https://www.instagram.com/p/CKrqzp-F420/)

Twitter has had the same functionality for about 8 hours now and honestly it's getting kind of stale.

my Likert scale:

⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️: lovert
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️: likert
⭐️⭐️⭐️: whatevert
⭐️⭐️: dislikert
⭐️: hatert

Gerade mal wieder kurz am alten Vogelkäfig vorbeigeflogen 🐦 Der Autohändler denkt sich jeden Tag vier bis fünf neue features aus, aber sie wollen noch nicht so recht zünden…

What’s the prior probability of a hypothesis being true in #psychology?

* Dreber et al (2015; 10.1073/pnas.1516179112) give an estimate of 9%.

* Wilson & Wixted (2018; 10.1177/2515245918767122) estimate 6-10% for social psych and 27% for cognitive psych.

Are there any other papers estimating this quantity?

(Asking for our #MetaScience project, where we want to calibrate our agent based model #ABM of academia.)

CC @uebernerd @briannosek @tomhardwicke @EJWagenmakers
#Bayes #metaRep