#crisisgroup
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"Ukraine’s Most Plausible Security Guarantee Will Not Come from the U.S."
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Even if the president’s mind were not made up (it is), this U.S. posture is consistent with longstanding policy and has a bipartisan pedigree. President Joe Biden also showed no interest in offering Ukraine a security guarantee. His team machinated behind the scenes to keep such conversations from moving too far at NATO convenings. (In its final months, the Biden administration floated a proposal to extend a hollow “invitation” to Ukraine to join the alliance at an unspecified future date, with the idea that doing so would allow Zelenskyy to signal the Ukrainian public that he had secured their future, while allowing NATO to avoid an actual commitment.)
[...]
[There is nothing to gain from] any continued efforts to extract U.S. guarantees in any form. Not only would this approach fail, but it would also feed a corrosive right-wing “MAGA” narrative that Washington’s partners are trying to drag the U.S. into World War III.
"""
(This is a bit old, March 7)
Update on the status in Haiti from
Renata Segura of #crisisgroup:
"CARICOM had requested Haitian political forces to send a proposal for creating a transitional government. They received 7 instead.
The meeting in Jamaica ended with white smoke of sorts: [the current president] oledged to resign, and a 7 member presidential council was created with representation from multiples parties (including Henry's). The council will chose a new prime minister.
This is a huge deal, as negotiations to form a new gvt has stalled for years. However, the immediate emergency is the security situation. Gang leader Chérizier said yesterday (before CARICOM's announcement) that Vin Ansanm would NOT recognise a new gvt resulting from [the meeting in] Jamaica.
The question is how to respond now to the security crisis. The Mission led by Kenya is preparing to deploy, but the biggest ? is if it will be able to arrive fast enough to prevent gangs from taking control of the entire capital."
War in Sudan: „A disaster of epic dimensions“
Listen to the latest episode of the Hold Your Fire! - Podcast:
A Long War Looming in Sudan
„Almost three months into the war in Sudan […] the fighting shows no sign of slowing. Khartoum remains the epicentre, but Sudan’s periphery, especially the West Darfur region, has seen a dramatic resurgence in intercommunal violence.“
https://shows.acast.com/hold-your-fire/episodes/a-long-war-looming-in-sudan
#Myanmar: Breaking Gender & Age Barriers amid Myanmar’s Spring Revolution. “National Unity Government (#NUG) should move beyond tokenism to genuinely include women & youth from diverse backgrounds in decision-making to build its credibility & break down patriarchal barriers. Donors should increase support for women- & youth-led organisations, while anti-regime armed groups should review the gendered way they assign recruits.” | #CrisisGroup https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/myanmar/b174-breaking-gender-and-age-barriers-amid-myanmars-spring-revolution #WhatsHappeningInMyanmar
Politics in Myanmar is traditionally the domain of…
www.crisisgroup.org#Myanmar is not on the #CrisisGroup’s list of 10 Conflicts to Watch in 2023: https://www.crisisgroup.org/global/10-conflicts-watch-2023.
See the Crisis Group’s reports on #Myanmar at: https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-east-asia/myanmar
Russia's invasion of Ukraine sent shock waves round…
www.crisisgroup.orgOur #crisisgroup September briefing on responding to internal displacement in Ukraine is now available for download in Ukrainian. Soon to be available on the site in Ukrainian, too, technology willing. @Simon_Schlegel_@twitter.com @AdeCar@twitter.com https://www.crisisgroup.org/europe-central-asia/eastern-europe/ukraine/b94-responding-ukraines-displacement-crisis-speed
Some seven million people are displaced inside Ukraine,…
www.crisisgroup.orgKnow who else is in the Crisis group?
Alexander Downer
The guy who set up Papadopoulos together with Mifsud & was one of the main origins of the phony Russia Collusion story
Crisis Group is a who's who of international Globalist operatives all connected to SOROS
#CrisisGroup
