#polling

Liberals hold four-point lead over Conservatives heading into Monday’s vote: Ipsos
New polling data from Ipsos suggests tight national numbers obscure a Liberal advantage in key provinces such as Ontario, Québec and British Columbia.
#politics #election #polling #Ontario #Québec #BritishColumbia
https://globalnews.ca/news/11151536/liberals-hold-four-point-lead-ipsos/

COMMENTARY: How to make sense of the opinion polls during the 2025 Canadian election
Caution must be used when interpreting opinion polls during the election. They’re not all created equal. Dismissing them outright is as foolish as trusting them blindly.
#politics #election #polling #Commentary #canadaelection
https://globalnews.ca/news/11149229/how-to-make-sense-of-polls-2025-canadian-election/

"Are things falling apart for Trump? About 100 days in, the signs are almost uniformly negative for the second-term Trump project":
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2025/04/24/polls-show-trump-doing-poorly/
#extremism #incompetence #polling #politics

https://www.europesays.com/2010215/ Coalition frontbenchers say party not ‘waving a white flag’ as it fends off new claims on WFH policy #australia #coalition #election #PeterDutton #polling #popularity #wfh #WorkFromHome

Stan Greenberg was Bill Clinton's pollster and a good one at that. His comments to Canadian pollster Frank Graves are worth repeating.
Too many people, especially on the left, have a bizarrely elevated view of how voters make choices.
If you actually want to win, listen to Mr. Greenberg.

#StanleyGreenberg #FrankGraves #polling #WinningElections #Emotion #CanadaElection

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2025/04/14/canada-election-trump-polls-00286002

https://www.europesays.com/1994586/ 9 in 10 Canadians Support Expanding Hydropower in #Canadá #Energy #EnergyPolicy #hydropower #polling #PublicOpinion #WaterPowerCanada

For the first time since the start of his second term, #Trump hit 50% #disapproval in #VoteHub's #polling #aggregation today. https://votehub.com/polls/

Presidents have come back from this. #Reagan bottomed out at something like 30% early in his first term, and then of course won re-election in a landslide. But Trump doesn't have that kind of political acumen.

If we have anything resembling a fair #election, 2026 will be a bloodbath, and I'm willing to bet 2028 as well. If we don't, well, it will be a bloodbath of a different kind.

Some of the latest #polling/#polls:

@rberger

Pinned to my profile, the numbers:

America is divided in 4 parts:
340.1m total july24
95.4m Not eligible to #vote under 18 + others 28.1%
89.5m Eligible did not #vote 26.2%
77.3m TrumpVance 22.7%
75.0m #HarrisWalz 22.1%
2.9m other none of above 0.9%
Sources us census, UFelectionlab, FEC

All #projections from #polling should reflect the total pop as denominator or disclose who is disregarded

“Labour falls to DISTANT 3rd place in latest #Westminster #polling”

by Skwawkbox @skwawkbox @UKLabour

“If Starmer is trying to take the #UK into #fascism, we may have found the one thing he’s good at – 13 Cabinet ministers set to lose seats”

https://skwawkbox.org/2025/04/02/labour-falls-to-distant-3rd-place-in-latest-westminster-polling/

#Press #Labour #Austerity #WFA #Reeves #Starmer #BenefitsHarmer #Streeting #RachelThieves #FreezeAndStarve #TwoChildBenefitCap #ChildPoverty #Genocide #Complicity #Authoritarian #Hypocrisy #Lies #ToryContinuityParty #KidStarver

BREAKING: #Elmo the #SpaceNazi has paid local #nazis to steal #ballots from SEVEN #Wisconsin #polling stations who have reported they have "ran out of ballot papers"

https://www.europesays.com/1961289/ Polls On The US And EU In Europe #DonaldTrump #europe #EuropeanUnion #polling #PublicOpinion #tariffs

"It is absolutely right to emphasize the importance of respecting #voters, and try to understand them, rather than assuming that those who disagree with you are stupid or racist. But voters are not going to tell you how to #govern the country. It is not their job. Relying on their opinions to try to deduce what to do leads not only to incoherence, but to a negative loop."

https://samf.substack.com/p/the-rise-of-the-gurus?r=72szy&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

#UKpol
#MorganMcSweeney
#keirstarmer
#polling
#governing
#PoliticalLeadership
#politicalbeliefs

Divided Electorate Tells Tale of Two Cities Ahead of Mayoral Election

https://www.thecity.nyc/2025/03/12/mayor-election-candidates-voters/

#nyc #politics #survey #politicalscience #polling #socialscience

Canadians alarmed by text messages asking their vote preference. Then their postal code. Then their name
The Canadian Research Insights Council (CRIC), a polling industry association, has received numerous complaints about these text-message tactics from ERG National Research.
#politics #election #polling #privacy #News #Canada
https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/calgary/erg-national-research-text-polling-complaints-cric-1.7494941?cmp=rss

I ran across another appeal from "Cooperate for Canada" to ignore one's political beliefs and instead vote for whoever Fournier thinks is the biggest risk to the CPC candidate.

So I decided to take a deeper look at this group, their concept, and their actions.

@leftylabourtech

1/

#cdnpoli #polling #elxn45

https://reasonstobecheerful.world/colorado-jails-election-turnout-soared/

When #Colorado Put #Polling Places Inside All Its #Jails, #Voter Turnout Soared

..."originally published https://boltsmag.org/, covers criminal justice and voting rights in local governments
...
Many Colorado counties posted significant jail turnout in November after having zero, or nearly zero, jail vote."...

@IndyRichard America is divided in 4 parts:
340.1m total july24
95.4m Not eligible to #vote under 18 + others 28.1%
89.5m Eligible did not #vote 26.2%
77.3m TrumpVance 22.7%
75.0m #HarrisWalz 22.1%
2.9m other none of above 0.9%
Sources us census, UFelectionlab, FEC

All #projections from #polling should reflect the total pop as denominator or disclose who is disregarded

@Sfwmson @peachfront
Prioritize. We need you this year in #virginia, a healthier democracy.

America is divided in 4 parts:
340.1m total july24
95.4m Not eligible to #vote under 18 + others 28.1%
89.5m Eligible did not #vote 26.2%
77.3m TrumpVance 22.7%
75.0m #HarrisWalz 22.1%
2.9m other none of above 0.9%
Sources us census, UFelectionlab, FEC
All #projections from #polling should reflect the total pop as denominator or disclose who is disregarded

Liberals widen lead over Tories under Carney, Ipsos poll shows
Prime Minister Mark Carney's leadership has sparked a surge in Liberal party support, with new Ipsos polling showing the Liberals widening their lead over the Conservatives.
#politics #election #polling #Canada #Conservatives #LiberalParty
https://globalnews.ca/news/11086378/mark-carney-liberals-lead-conservatives-ipsos/