Infection rates will remain high without public health measures to protect the public. Vaccines and one-way masking are only partially effective, especially for people who are unable to work remotely.
#COVID
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.01.22.23284884v1.full
The model shows that "people who are vaccinated and not taking measures to reduce their contact rate can expect to spend an average of 6 days a year acutely sick with COVID-19 (1.4 infections/yr times 4.4 days average duration, and also incur a 12% risk of long COVID (symptoms lasting more than 3 months)."
"...many working individuals may find “living with COVID” to be beyond their means within a short period of time."
Anecdotally it probably depends quite a bit on where you are, too, which they do address in the article with a range of outcomes.
People I know on the west coast get COVID far less often than the people I know in Florida. I don't know a single person that works in person in Florida that got COVID less than 2 times in 2022 while most people I know in the western US got it one time.
Interestingly, 1.4 times per year matches up very well with a previous paper I read that postulated, based on antibody persistence, that everyone would get COVID about every 8 months. It's a pretty dire outlook, particularly for kids today, if we continue to choose to do nothing about it.
