@johnzajac interesting idea, but how did you arrive at the dates?
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They seem to be well within the forecast range.
From 2020:
https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-when-might-the-world-exceed-1-5c-and-2c-of-global-warming/
From 2023:
@BE @johnzajac sheesh, give me the tl;dr 😏
maybe the date comes from the WMO report from May 17, saying 98% chance we hit 1.5 C “temporarily” in any one of the next 5 years
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/17/global-heating-climate-crisis-record-temperatures-wmo-research