CIDRAP: "Contaminated meat likely source of avian flu that killed bush dogs in UK zoo, preprint suggests"
'Likely' is an interesting choice. Let's take a look at the alternative transmission possibilities noted in the study:
* scavenging of wild bird carcases/sick wild birds landing in the un-netted pen
* indirect contact (e.g., wild bird faeces)
Both of these possibilities can involve bioaerosols
"Wild bird activity was observed on the site during epidemiological investigations"
(Cont.) 🧵
I had the same thought, especially because there were no die-offs noted in the wild bird population where they were shot, but, this threw at least some cold water on the idea:
"Time-resolved phylogenetic and amino acid analysis found that all the sequences from the bush dogs were the result of a single introduction, however whilst there were amino acid substitutions, these do not appear to have been consistently maintained. Taken together, this suggests that transfer between dogs is unlikely, and that a common source of infection is responsible, although it is impossible to definitively conclude whether dog-to-dog transmission occurred. Critically, of the original bush dog population within the enclosure, 5 animals survived remaining clinically normal throughout. This may indicate that these dogs had not received a dose of virus sufficient to drive a productive infection. This is further supported by low level serological responses being detected in two of the animals (cases 11 and 12) that may indicate exposure to antigen or a low-level infection that was cleared by the host immune response."
Also:
"From the perspective of zoonotic risk, the well-established marker of mammalian adaptation (E627K) was detected in all but one of the bush dog sequences generated."
Seems to indicate that the source was likely non-mammalian. But I agree, it's not an airtight case that there was zero mammal to mammal transmission.
Thanks for pointing out the paper! It was a little morbid, but I learned some things.
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.04.18.590032v1.full
@BE
I am particularly interested in the fecal aerosol angle lately. It is interesting that there weren't local die-offs. If live, wild birds are -- pardon my language -- shitting and farting everywhere, it seems difficult to rule out the role this route might be playing