As a follow-up to your post on Indian banning the export of all rice except basmati:
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/panic-buyers-load-rice-supplies-075235908.html
It seems clear that we are leaving the "gradually" phase of climate change and entering the "suddenly" stage. Things are happening as foreseen, but now rapidly.
@Leisureguy @LifeTimeCooking
Hopefully, everyone will now rapidly decarbonize their lives.
Good one! (seriously: do you see any significant signs of that?)
@Leisureguy
Our Energy Information Agency just predicted that the U.S. is going to emit 5% less carbon dioxide than we did last year, so yes there are significant signs that decarbonization is happening finally.
@GreenFire That's good to hear. The problem, as I understand it, is that even if we cut our fossil fuel emissions by 100%, the CO2 and Methane already in the atmosphere would result in the temperature continuing to climb for around 60 years.
@Leisureguy
The science suggests otherwise, but of course I'd like to see the real world experiment of what will happen to our #GlobalWarming after we stop dumping greenhouse gases into our thin precious atmosphere. @hausfath
"The best available evidence shows that, on the contrary, warming is likely to more or less stop once carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions reach zero, meaning humans have the power to choose their climate future."
https://www.carbonbrief.org/explainer-will-global-warming-stop-as-soon-as-net-zero-emissions-are-reached/
I've never seen that before, so thanks for sharing. I noticed it says "NASA’s Dr Gavin Schmidt tells Carbon Brief that this wording does not reflect more recent research and an update is in the works" and NASA did update it to say:
"However, if we stopped emitting greenhouse gases today, the rise in global temperatures would begin to flatten within a few years. Temperatures would then plateau but remain well-elevated for many, many centuries. There is a time lag between what we do and when we feel it, but that lag is less than a decade."
In 2022 NOAA stated:
https://www.climate.gov/news-features/climate-qa/can-we-slow-or-even-reverse-global-warming
"If all human emissions of heat-trapping gases were to stop today, Earth’s temperature would continue to rise for a few decades as ocean currents bring excess heat stored in the deep ocean back to the surface. Once this excess heat radiated out to space, Earth’s temperature would stabilize. Experts think the additional warming from this “hidden” heat are unlikely to exceed 0.9° Fahrenheit (0.5°Celsius). With no further human influence, natural processes would begin to slowly remove the excess carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, and global temperatures would gradually begin to decline."
Obviously, I'd like to see the real world experiment, too!
I hear you and I don't know either. The climate is pretty complex. I just wanted to add some info into the discussion!
@BE
@Leisureguy
There's definitely a lot of heat we've added into our planet's water, but I don't know what sort of quasi-equilibrium exchange there's going to be with our warmer atmosphere.
TBH, I think we've spent too much effort on modeling and too little on the actual decarbonization which putting on my conspiracy theorist hat was part of their "plan".
Congress and such could say they were taking #ClimateAction by providing funding to the modelers which actually didn't impact profits.