@datum

I had read what I think you're referring to as "CFRs are always overestimated at the beginning of an outbreak and here's an example" but on second read I might have misread it.

On a quick search I couldn't find that graph, specifically, and even 2020 and 2021 estimates were lower than that.

https://www.cebm.net/covid-19/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8451339/