“Based on the reanalysis products, we next determine probability density functions of the AMOC collapse time. The collapse time is estimated between 2037-2064 (10-90% CI) with a mean of 2050 and the probability of an AMOC collapse before the year 2050 is estimated to be 59 +/- 17%” 😱
Note: Preprint, so not yet peer-reviewed. #dkgreen #dkpol https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.11738