A federal indictment of Trump for inciting an insurrection on Jan 6th should be all but certain after a bipartisan Congressional committee layed out a comprehensive case against him and referred the evidence to the Dept of Justice, but after his investigation Special Counsel Jack Smith will likely refer the final determination back to AG Garland who could choose to hold his decision in abeyance till after 2024, claiming the DOJ doesn't wish to interfere with the election process. Hopefully not.