這篇提及的是央視節目<軍武零距離>所報導的HQ-17A野戰進程防空系統及遭美方制裁的中國北方工業集團生產之裝載反坦克飛彈的ZBL-09輪式步兵戰車。

"This week, the Global Times reported that the Xinjiang Military Command recently took delivery of China’s latest field air defense missile system. Reportedly, this is the fifth recent acquisition for the command in terms of new weaponry. The new air defense missile system is identified as the HQ-17A field air defense missile system.

In addition, the Xinjiang Military Command is also reported to have taken delivery of and begun operating a new infantry fighting vehicle (IFV), the North Industries Group Corporation (Norinco)-produced ZBL-09 (also called Type 09). The new IFV, which can carry anti-tank guided missiles, took part in a recent military exercise. "

thediplomat.com/2021/05/chinas

從林芝到背崩的公路完成也令旁邊有三條公路等著蓋的印度提高警覺:

" The 67.22-kilometer-long highway was constructed at a cost of $310 million and took almost seven years to complete, according to Xinhuanet. It cuts the distance between Nyingchi and Baibung from the current 346 kilometers to 180 kilometers, and reduces travel time by eight hours."

"In the pipeline are three major roads, the Arunachal Frontier Highway, the Trans-Arunachal Highway and the Arunachal East-West Corridor. However, work on these highway projects is still at an early stage."

thediplomat.com/2021/05/china-

"根據《德國之聲》報導,新加坡國立大學南亞研究所印度軍事專家約西(Yogesh Joshi)表示,對於印度在中印邊境增兵他並不意外,在軍事談判中常見的情況在於,當雙方在試圖達成協議時,他們也必須讓對方知道,他們有意願與資源可以延續衝突。

約西認為,這點對印度來說十分重要,中國解放軍在去年4月及5月曾對邊境發動突襲式行動,讓印度現在沒有被動空間,因為印度不能再失去更多領土,像中印邊境這樣的崎嶇環境,失土很難收復,所以對印度來說,只要派駐夠多軍隊,在未來可能衝突中的選擇也更多。

約西指出,印度戰略方針一向都是盡可能地威懾中國,如果此方針無法奏效,中國就會發動攻勢、奪取領地,因此印度近期這波部隊調動是為了堵住邊境缺口,未來若是中國再度發動攻擊時,印度也能迅速反擊。"

news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/bre

達到廿萬軍員的規模足以引起國際對此區情勢的注意:

"四位熟悉印度边境增军消息的人士告诉彭博社,在过去几个月中,印度已将部队和战斗机中队转移到与中国交界的三个不同地区。其中两人说,总的来说,印度现在大约有20万部队集中在边境地区,比去年增加了40%以上。"

dw.com/zh/%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6%E

印中的海軍軍備策略差異:

" in the first decade of the new millennium, both the IN and PLAN had set wheels in motion to pursue robust aircraft carrier programs. India recognized the need to overhaul their carrier force with newer, more capable ships, while China sought to procure the beginnings of a robust carrier capability."

thediplomat.com/2021/07/a-tale

沒想到印度海軍已經談妥這麼多軍事後勤協議了:

"Today, India has such military logistics agreements with Australia, Japan, the United States – the Quad countries – as well as with France, Singapore, and South Korea. India is currently in the process of finalizing such an agreement with the U.K. and in talks with other partners like Vietnam.

These agreements go a long way in expanding India’s military reach, especially maritime outreach and influence in various regions that are strategically important to India. On a practical note, it saves enormous time and reduces overall costs of the lengthy bookkeeping exercises that the militaries have to otherwise do with each visit, such as when the respective militaries are involved in operations like humanitarian assistance and disaster relief or even bilateral military exercises. "

thediplomat.com/2021/09/indias

中方的看法偏向把印太戰略是美國主導而印方消極配合缺乏積極動機的因勢利導:

" Above all, the prospects of a true “alliance” between the United States and India are held back by a long-running philosophy of non-alignment in India’s foreign policy.

India-Russia relations are also often cited in PLA media as a factor preventing India from forming a true alliance with the U.S. "

thediplomat.com/2021/10/how-do

中國對米國印太戰略的反擊方向:

"對於中國如何應對美國印太戰略的問題,中國社會科學院亞太與全球戰略研究院副院長葉海林2022年發表在「印度洋經濟體研究」的文章提出過幾個建議。

首先,在戰略和外交領域,他建議「進行基於實力運用原則的分化瓦解工作」。第2,在安全領域,軍事和非軍事手段並用,並且向美國明確為了國家統一、領土完整等核心利益「不惜一戰的底線」。第3,在科技領域,做好高科技合作徹底斷絕的準備。

第4,在經濟領域,深化既有的開放性地區合作架構,積極推動區域全面經濟夥伴協定(RCEP)落實和升級,積極推動加入跨太平洋夥伴全面進步協定(CPTPP)等。第5,在對外傳播領域,主動傳遞中國主張、澄清中國立場。"

cna.com.tw/news/aopl/202306020

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目前看來美中緊張態勢沒啥和緩跡象:

[ “In the absence of dialogue, there are unacceptable risks to both sides,” said Bonnie Glaser, director of the Indo-Pacific Program at the German Marshall Fund of the United States. That includes, she said, the risk of “sleepwalking into a conflict over Taiwan.”
「不進行對話給雙方都帶來不可接受的風險,」美國的德國馬歇爾基金會亞洲項目主任葛來儀(Bonnie Glaser)說,包括「在台灣問題上稀裡糊塗陷入衝突」的風險。]

cn.nytimes.com/china/20230602/

這個核心目標不改大概就不可能不三戰吧!

"A central goal for China’s military under leader Xi Jinping has been to make it perilous for the U.S. or any other rival military to operate around China’s periphery, according to Chinese military scholars.

Under a strategy known as antiaccess/area denial, or A2/AD, Beijing aims to prevent the U.S. military from entering areas where it would need to go to fight in a conflict, such as around Taiwan, and deny any U.S. forces the opportunity to launch attacks by eliminating them."

wsj.com/articles/chinas-missil

光是中國要讓米國退出西太平洋這點就注定美中非戰不可啊...

"No matter what Mr. Biden does, China’s clear military goal is to push the U.S. out of the Western Pacific, and it is getting bolder as its military power rapidly increases. '

wsj.com/articles/chinas-pacifi

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