等中國真落腳非洲西部港口時,阿拜和滷蛋布的對中競合路線就尷尬到好笑了。
“湯森接受「美聯社」訪問時指出,北京正在非洲西海岸尋找地點,從茅利塔尼亞(Mauritania)到南邊的納米比亞(Namibia)都探詢過,意欲設立大型海軍港口,部署潛艦或航空母艦,一旦成真,將使中國在太平洋、大西洋都能部署軍艦。
湯森說,「他們正在尋找一處能整補其軍艦的地方,這在衝突中會有軍事用途」。”
“一段時間以來,許多人一直以為,中國設法在非洲東岸的坦尚尼亞(Tanzania)設海軍基地,但是湯森說,這方面似乎遲未定案,而且最令他擔心的不是這個地點,「我寧可是在坦尚尼亞,而不是在大西洋岸。大西洋岸最讓我擔心」,意指非洲西岸與美國之間相對較短的距離;以里程來說,在非洲臨大西洋岸北端,會比在中國本土的軍事基地與美國西岸的距離,還更顯著靠近美國。”
這篇則從非洲諸國立場來剖析美中競爭的選擇:
"許多非洲國家會選擇跟中國合作是因為其他選擇很少。而中國政府傾向於與當地精英建立深厚的關係,以確保廣泛參與以及可以保持保密和不透明,特別是貸款相關的協議。...
...南非國際事務研究所專家范史塔登(Cobus van Staden)在美國政治新聞網 Politico 分析認為,對非洲來說,美國擁有一項強大的優勢,就是風險評估和專門的法律分析。非洲政府面對中國最主要障礙之一是缺乏貸款談判的能力。因此美國律師事務所與非洲政府之間的緊密合作,可以幫助非洲國家跟中國貸方進行更艱難的討價還價,這可能是個可以有成果的合作領域。這種合作需要改變美國的思維方式,而不是直接對抗中國,而是要針對性地與非洲交往,例如在監督中國承包商對社會、環境的影響。因此只有針對非洲的需求才能弱化中國在非洲的影響力,單純的要求非洲國家在美中之間做選擇只會讓非洲跟中國的關係更好。"
https://pourquoi.tw/2021/05/12/intlnews-nasaoa-210505-210511-3/
越來越多美媒注意到美中在非洲的角力競爭:
“But if Chinese air, naval, and marine forces were based in the Atlantic, they could force the Pentagon to expand the scope of a war with China far beyond the Pacific. The U.S. could be faced with a two-front war, tracking down Chinese aircraft carriers, surface task forces, and attack submarines operating in the Atlantic.”
中國佔了喀麥隆六成外債額度, 也是老把戲: 中國進出口銀行借款給該國政府, 以便令中國企業承包該國基礎建設.
"China has issued over $6.2 billion in loans to Cameroon, the majority of which broadly concern infrastructure and energy. The majority of these loans are for major projects that are at least partially funded by the Cameroonian government. In many cases, the Export-Import Bank of China will fund most of an initiative through a loan and the Cameroonian government will be responsible for paying upfront around 15 percent of a project. The financing that the government of Cameroon is required to provide for the projects has at times slowed the disbursement of Chinese loans, which partially explains why 28 percent of all undispersed external debt in Cameroon is held by China. Notably, the majority of Chinese loans to Cameroon finance large and highly visible projects that are implemented by Chinese firms."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/06/chinas-role-in-cameroons-risk-of-debt-distress/
看來中國正企圖挖走史瓦帝尼這個台灣唯一的非洲邦交國~
[ Swaziland News editor Zweli Martin Dlamini says people in Eswatini want a better life and could be lured by China’s promises of development, “but many are concerned that China is putting countries into huge debt.” The pros and cons should be openly debated, but The Nation editor Bheki Makhubu points out that Mswati is an absolute monarch: “If he says we go with Taiwan, we go with Taiwan, regardless of what we say.” ]
https://thediplomat.com/2021/08/eswatini-taiwans-last-partner-in-africa/
美國現在對非洲外交採取寬鬆的拉攏:
"In their dealings with African counterparts, U.S. diplomats stress that, unlike during the Cold War, Washington no longer expects African countries to choose sides in a global power competition.
美國外交官在與非洲同行打交道時強調,與冷戰時期不同,華盛頓方面不再指望非洲國家在一場全球權力競爭中選邊站隊。"