From "The Analyst"

CRIMEAN STRIKES SURPRISE

The Russians are feeling gloomy. The anti-S400 raid makes a lot more sense as it seems the Ukrainians have a special forces raid going on in Crimea. Because of blanket OPSEC there’s no real news that the Kherson bridgeheads have been expanded but some reports suggest they keep growing but it takes time and the Ukrainians don’t want to gloat or over stress the situation until it’s more stable.
In the south the Russians have had to drain troops from trenches closer to Tokmak and moved them to fill gaping holes in the lines south of Robotyne and south of Urazhine.
Russia’s milblogers  do seem very depressed, which is always fun because they bring down everyone.
Now Crimea. The probes and then destruction of the S400 systems have been truly remarkable. On top of that the Ukrainian spokesperson stated that at least three S300 systems had been destroyed in  occupied Kherson. This is a huge problem for Russia as it means there’s no real air cover in a very large area. There aren’t that many S400 systems that another can just be moved in without detracting from somewhere else.
This morning Ukrainian special forces have attacked the very site of the missile battery -
it seems the Ukrainians got in and got out - but what were they after? The comms systems and codes of the radar and jamming systems that are based on that peninsula? It’s sort of like the Wurzburg raid in WW2. Frankly dramatic and exciting but where will it lead? Is this the start of a campaign of disruption in Crimea?

Happy National Day! Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!