THE UKRAINIANS AIR DEFENCES ARE IN DIRE STRAIGHTS
Finally after months of pushing and warning NATO, an emergency meeting is to take place on replenishing Ukrainian air defences. Not only are additional launchers needed, the most important aspect is missile for the existing ones, which are now pretty much gone.
Germany has agreed to supply another Patriot battery and missiles but it’s the NASAMS missiles and the PAC2/3 missiles for Patriot that are needed most.
The real issue is that production is nowhere near where it needs to be to match use. And it’s not going to be scraping the minimum even by next year.
The only way around this is to backfill stocks from new production and those nations with missiles need to supply them now. There is intense resistance to doing this as getting replacements is taking so long, and Ukrainian burn rates are higher than even this can sustain in the mid term.
The danger point comes when all the missiles are supplied, Ukraine uses them and nobody has more than a handful left, new production will just end up in Ukraine for use.
Those countries who supplied their missiles are then afraid they will have nothing to fire if needed and neither, eventually, will Ukraine.
Only higher production will solve the problem. The US has quite a sizeable arsenal, but they too are concerned about stripping their defences around the world - especially in the Middle East and Pacific, Alaska and Hawaii/Guam which are vital in the event of war with China.
Everything that can help resolve this is tied up in the recently published House Ukraine aid bill. That allocates $25 billion to replenish US weapons stocks sent to Ukraine and $61 billion in allocation aid.
Only this aid stands any chance of rectifying the situation. Yet while it’s couched in loan-style language it’s comprehensive enough the President has said he will sign it if it is passed (if it gets through the senate). With the Speaker now seriously under threat by Moscow Margery Traitor Greene, she has the backing of a second. It will require Democrats to vote for it (which they will) and a handful of Republicans who can be found to still have a conscience.
Then it has to go to the senate where it needs 60 out of 100 to pass. If it passes without amendments then it will be signed and activated. However if the Senate amends it, it has to go back to the House for another approval vote. By which time a battle for the speakership may hold it up.
This is the state of affairs as it stands. Meanwhile Ukraine keeps getting hit and people die. This is Trump’s legacy even when he isn’t president.
Slava 🇺🇦 Ukraine!
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