From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX

MORE NEWS ON THE PEACE TALKS

Apparently the Qataris were the centre of efforts for a partial ceasefire agreement. It would not have stopped fighting but it would have stopped any further attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure. Ukraine has lost 9Gw of the 18Gw it needs to get through the rough parts of winter. As it stands electricity will only be available at peak times for 7 hours a day. If they lose more things decline rapidly.
In exchange Russia wanted an end to the attacks on oil refineries and its own energy grid - which gives you an insight into how much of an effect those attacks have had.
The wider concept of a full ceasefire was never really on the cards - Ukraine wanted the Russians to withdraw completely and the Russians wanted Ukraine to surrender land that Russia hadn’t even occupied. They could not have been further apart.
Then came Kursk and the Russians said they would not send their delegation. Ukraine still wanted to talk but the Qataris said it was pointless. Since then Russia has said it won’t talk as long as Ukraine is in Kursk, something Putin has said publicly.
So we now have yet another cloud over the purpose of the Kursk offensive.
Ukraine had managed to inflict so much damage on Russian refineries that the Russians were ready to stop attacking Ukrainian energy grid systems and civilian targets.
That now won’t happen.
Analytically we can see the Ukrainians have a powerful retaliatory weapon in their drone capabilities if Russia does attempt to strike the energy grid again. They could ramp up their own attacks and do even more. So have they reached a state of deterrence informally?
The only advantage of formalising a deal to not attack key infrastructure would be a trust building exercise that might lead to the wars end.
Right now that is as far away as it’s ever been.