From "The Analyst":
RUSSIA EXPECTS TO WIN BY MID 2026
The Russians have laid out their overall strategic intention to have reached their objectives in a decisive victory by the middle of 2026.
In an oddly frank playing out of the challenges, including manpower issues and state budgets, they believe that by that time they have acquired the land they want the war can be concluded on their terms by mid-2026.
There was no talk of conquering Ukraine, but securing the ‘annexed’ oblasts in full seems to be the aim, even though they’re nowhere near some of the objectives or likely even capable of taking cities like Zaporhizia and Dnipro.
While the Russians are saying things like this, Forbes magazine in the US highlighted that the new Ukrainian brigades are being equipped with vehicles from the 1960’s and 1970’s, because no newer equipment is available.
American aid is now only being released in smaller tranches and while a few vehicles are being supplied here and there, no major vehicle donations have been made in an age. They need hundreds of M2 Bradley’s yet only a couple of dozen are sent at a time if that.
It’s difficult to understand quite what game the Americans are playing.
Ammunition for the army seems to be adequate. Air defence missiles are subject to logjams of production.
Yet there is no surge of weapons to Ukraine even as it fights for its life in the central front regions.
Elsewhere the Russians are waging their asymmetric war not just against infrastructure but against bloggers and journalists - this was highlighted a month or so ago. A Daily Telegraph journalist on holiday in Gibraltar who ran a successful pro-Ukraine blog, died suddenly and anti-terrorist police have been called in to investigate.
The FSB stated it was going to go after influential influencers and those who helped raise money for Ukrainian drone operators and so on.
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!