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A though on vehicles: There is clearly a strong market out there, and the technology is mostly there. The challenge is that the current environment is designed for human drivers. For a historical comparison look at the high wheeler cars at the turn of the 20th century. These vehicles had to operate on the infrastructure designed for horse and buggy. My M3 is in every way a superior car, but it would have been useless on the rutted dirt tracks of the era. My modern car needed the modern road and highway system to develop first.

I predict that the big advances in Self-driving will come from upgrading transportation infrastructure to be more predictable for the AI rather than the abilities of the AI reaching the point where it can successfully navigated every conceivable hazard and situation found on today’s roads.

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