#terrestrial_water_storage
#GRACE
#global_hydrological_models
#land_surface_models
2018 study designed by Bridget R. Scanlon from University of Texas, Austin and Zizhan Zhang from Wuhan University, China.
This is a basin-level analysis for the globe of TWS trends during 2002-2014.
The concept of terrestrial/land terrestrial water storage (TWS), which does not include glaciers.
TWS = SnowWS + CanopyWS + SoilWS + SurfaceWS + GroundWS (WS = water storage)
Caveats of different data sources:
(1) Land surface models have greater emphasis on fluxes, whereas global hydrological models have more emphasis on water storage and human water use.
(2) Many land surface models only simulate the snow and soil moisture storage components, while most global hydrological models simulate all except glaciers.
(3) GRACE data estimated by mascons can have leakage, i.e., the decreasing TWS trends in melting glaciers can cause decreasing trends in the adjacent pixels
The assessments were conducted at large-basin levels (<100 across the globe). The units of basin-level TWS were km^3/year, but larger trends in km^3/year generally corresponded to larger trends in mm/year.
Major findings:
(1) All the models generally under-estimate the magnitudes of trends, which may be increasing or decreasing trends. The agreements based on regression analysis were also pretty poor.
(2) The more (less) irrigated a basin is, the more negative (positive) is the TWS trends in GRACE. The non-irrigated basins are mainly in the humid regions. Nonetheless, human intervention is not the greatest driver of global trends in water storage, because the land surface models, which do not simulate human interventions, produced more negative global trends than
(3) Larger (smaller) basins have smaller (larger) GRACE measurement and leakage uncertainties. Examples of leakage existed in the Yukon Basin (from the Alaskan glaciers), the Ganges (from the Asian High Mountain Glaciers), and the Salado basins in South America (glacker & Chile 2010 Maule earthquake).
(4) Land TWS affects global mean sea level rise by taking water from or putting water into the sea. GRACE suggests the global land is increasing in TWS, but the land surface and hydrological models all suggests negative global land average TWS trends.
(5) Sources of discrepancy between GRACE and the model outputs are discussed and analyzed in detail.