A recap of articles discussing climate migration, which is already underway in the USA

https://magazine.columbia.edu/article/americas-great-climate-migration-has-begun-heres-what-you-need-know

And it will occur in SE Asia and Australia.

https://www.theage.com.au/environment/climate-change/they-ain-t-seen-nothing-yet-un-boss-names-climate-change-impacts-coming-to-australia-20240225-p5f7n5.html

And in low-lying Pacific Island nations (which the Australian government has already acknowledged)

https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2023/nov/10/australia-to-offer-residency-to-tuvalu-residents-displaced-by-climate-change

A deep dive into SE Asian climate impacts (including Northern Australia).

During the 2022 Australasian Fire and Advisory Council conference (co-hosted with the Australian Institute for Disaster Resilience), Robert Glasser delivered a keynote summarising the implications of Global Warming in SE Asia.

Here is Robert's bio: https://iceds.anu.edu.au/people/visiting-and-honorary-members/dr-robert-glasser

It's been an open secret in Canberra (particularly within Defence) for years that global warming will cause a human catastrophe in SE Asia and will create a mass migrations of tens of millions of peoples throughout the SE Asian archipelago.

The implications for Northern Australia are immense - both from an immigration perspective and from the point of view of human habitability. Parts of Northern Australia will exceed the limits of human physiology in future wet seasons.

In polite society, this has never been discussed. But now that Robert can present these arguments at a national conference, I guess the cat is now out of the bag.

Here were his slides.

Robert began by reminding us that 1.5 degrees is already locked in - and the impacts of fractions of degrees beyond that will be highly non-linear

Small changes have big impacts - see these examples for sea-level rise.

Despite some political parties or banks (e.g. HSBC, Macquarie) attempting to tell you that Climate Change is no big deal and we can adapt to anything, a simple recap of recent extreme events displays their wilful ignorance.

Recent events in Valencia and North Carolina show how naive and mis-guided these narratives are.

Moving onto SE Asia - which is a warming hotspot for record-breaking mean temperatures in the 1960-2019 ERA5 data.

Rapid global warming is going to essentially destroy civilisation in SE Asia (and parts of Northern Australia) Whether its rapid sea-level rise, breaching the environmental limits of human physiology, impacts on terran and aquatic food supplies, SE Asia ticks all the boxes.

SE Asia is also has the largest populations exposed to sea-level rise.

When we look at impacts of climate variability (e.g. ENSO), SE Asia (and parts of Northern Australia) bear a disproportionate amount of the consequences.