As Pratchett said,
“Scientists have calculated that the chances of something so patently absurd actually existing are millions to one.
But magicians have calculated that million-to-one chances crop up nine times out of ten.”
I think it's from Equal Rites?

🎓 Doc Freemo :jpf: 🇳🇱  
Its a 1 in a 1,000,000 chance you will get hit by a meteor in your lifetime. Even less likely it will happen today. So, what is the chance that at ...
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oh google says from Mort.
Anyway it is repeated throughout the Discworld series.

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