A conversation.

"When experts disagree, usually the best thing to do is listen to what the majority of experts say. There's no *guarantee* that they're right, but they're more likely right than wrong. And if the majority view is overturned, it's almost guaranteed that this will be done by other experts in the field presenting evidence for the minority view, not by random kibitzers."

"For the history buffs in here, while most scientific knowledge is advanced incrementally, the true breakthroughs are usually ridiculed by the reigning experts. That is why appeals to authority are the worst kind of logical fallacy for a scientist."

"That's the pop-history version of scientific progress. The actual of is very different. Kind of like the difference between 'history buffs' and historians."

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Yes, there are examples—a few—of genuine breakthroughs that were ridiculed by the scientific establishment of the day. I bet you know what they are, because everyone does. They laughed at , they laughed at , they laughed at Luis and Walter , they laughed at and . These things happened.

But they did *not* laugh at : indeed, they took his work with deadly seriousness. (And there really wasn't any such thing as a "scientific establishment" at the time.) They did not laugh at , or , or , or , or , or , or , or , or , or and and poor unacknowledged , or and , or and , or , or the *vast majority* of scientists whose work has fundamentally changed our understanding of the universe.

At least if by "they" you mean scientists working in relevant fields, who understood the questions at hand ... not, in most cases, scientists from other fields, or those with no scientific experience at all. Nor the religious and political ideologues who muddy the waters by creating fake "controversies" to cast doubt on results they know are true, but cannot accept.

In some cases they *disagreed*, quite vociferously. There were debates that descended into shouting matches, professional disagreements turned into personal feuds, once-eminent researchers become sad cranks, ruined careers and shortened lives. Yes. These things happened too, and that's a tragedy.

But most of the time, most researchers in the same fields as the revolutionaries said, "Oh, that makes sense!" Problems that had seemed insoluble suddenly became simple, or at least it was possible to see how there *might* be an elegant solution. Major discoveries spawned a host of medium-sized ones, each of which in turn spawned endless minor ones—and endless minor papers, academic bread and butter for when you can't get steak and lobster. Everyone wins.

Those ideologues I mentioned above? They really, really want you to believe the narrative of ridicule. You might want to consider why.

@medigoth
we do not do science with anecdotes
we do science with data

so a few anecdotes offered by you are irrelevant to the question: are a maj of experts usually correct ?

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@failedLyndonLaRouchite My answer is a qualified yes: the majority of experts are more often closer to correct than anyone else. I'm a statistican, so I'm not going to get any more definitive than that. 🙂

@medigoth

I have a PhD in molecular biology
I would like to think you are correct, but I am really not sure

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