A line in a mostly unrelated post by a friend got me thinking about a maxim I've heard a lot lately: " is not about predicting the , but rather commenting on the present." It's become conventional wisdom rapidly approaching the status of a thought-terminating cliche.

When I sit down to write , "what if" is my primary motivation. The here-and-now obviously shapes my thoughts, but I'm not *deliberately* writing about it—if I wanted to do that, I'd pick a different genre.

Maybe I'm not exactly trying to predict the future, but I am trying to make believable predictions about what *could* happen if such-and-such occurred. And I think most of the SF authors whose work I admire would agree with me, unless I'm just really bad at getting the point!

@medigoth
Maybe it's just me, but I've always thought most fiction was a commentary on the present. Even the few bits of hard science fiction I've read feel like a commentary on the present, just cuz they describe where we're going. 🤷‍♂️

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@kcarr2015 Extrapolation from present circumstances isn't exactly "commentary on the present" the way it's usually meant, though. IMO, YMMV.

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