Realizing how many software engineering conversations pull probability estimates out of thin air is gonna radicalize me, a person who assumes that every probability estimate is OF COURSE based on empirical data and real statistics
"sorry in my world if you lie with math you have betrayed our deepest ethics my bad"
As I write out this thought I realize on a new level why y'all are so certain any form of numbers will eat your face. Like I already knew but this must be so profoundly frustrating and performative
So I came back to this thread realizing that the word estimates is EXTREMELY only one thing to y'all (project estimates) but just fyi to me and stats folks, it is many types of things 😬😄 cool, learning continues apace 😂
To me (with my worldview currently skewed by working in infosec bordering systems reliability) estimates by default mean probability estimates or frequency estimates.
