@kevinrothrock
Some questions: will any anonymised "raw" data be published?
How well does the probate and obituary dates of death agree with each other? If they disagree, are there any trends?
Do the probate records include information on the wealth of the deceased? Do the obituaries provide some means of estimating wealth?
Presumably there would be no probate records for anyone lacking close family but they could still have friends that write an obituary. Actually is there any info about who authored the obituaries?
Finally, how does this model compare with predictions from Henry Schlottmam in NZZ?