I just read the best paper I've seen yet this year, Sam Zhang's work on confusion between inferential uncertainty and outcome variability.

In the context of a trial or experiment, inferential uncertainty refers to our statistical confidence that two groups are different. Outcome variability refers to how much variation there is in individual outcomes within a single group.

IMO confusion about this is ubiquitous in biomedical science.

Here's the paper: osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/5tcg

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@ct_bergstrom Really interesting paper and surprised that no one mentioned violin plots for comparing the distributions.

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