Mastodon will lose lots of users to Bluesky, but the rest of the Fediverse won't; CW: long (over 1,200 characters), Fediverse meta, Twitter mentioned, Elon Musk mentioned by name, Bluesky mentioned
That'll be those who have only been on Mastodon and mostly big general-purpose instances because it was the closest thing to "Twitter without Musk" with open registration. The same people who staunchly keep using Mastodon like they used to use Twitter before. And Bluesky has given them the gift of an open but still central registration without having to pick an instance. I mean, it has yet to go fully decentral.
So as of now, Bluesky really is "literally Twitter without Musk" as expected.
The results I expect are mastodon.social no longer being the most active instance and Mastodon itself no longer being twice as active as the whole rest of the Fediverse combined, not nearly. For all the other Fediverse projects, nothing much will change. They've always been completely unknown on Twitter. So those who have never wanted anything different from Twitter still sit on the same general-purpose Mastodon instance with a domain that hints at Mastodon. But I guess not for much longer.
#Long #LongPost #CWLong #CWLongPost #FediMeta #FediverseMeta #CWFediMeta #CWFediverseMeta #Mastodon #Bluesky
Mastodon will lose lots of users to Bluesky, but the rest of the Fediverse won't; CW: long (over 1,200 characters), Fediverse meta, Twitter mentioned, Elon Musk mentioned by name, Bluesky mentioned
@jupiter_rowland I'm not sure. In November 2022 I'd have gone for Twitter without Musk. But I think myself and many others who stuck around like the fact we can filter out the discourse. And Bluesky codes have been easy to obtain for ages...
@keefeglise you say that, but I had a lot of trouble coming across a bluesky code.
In any case, I think the real turning point is going to be the addition of missing features to that platform. The developers over there say a bunch of features are in the works, and they have been surprisingly slow to emerge, but once they do it will be a much better platform for users than it is now.
I think that's really what a lot of users are waiting on.
