RT @NateSilver538@twitter.com
Good examples of bad COVID takes driving out accurate/fair/sane ones on Twitter. There are some batshit crazy takes on here, occasionally by people with MD or MPH in their titles, but they're a nasty crew to argue with so people with more accurate information give up. https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1592218335864815617
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1592245925803855874
Nate and Zeynep are perfect examples of pseudointellectual blovators
They serve "expert" opinions for people too busy or incapable of being informed themselves
Judge them by their records of (in)accuracy
Nate-2016 election
Zeynep-T cell exhaustion and airborne cov2 denial
@fitterhappierAJ Nate's call for 2016 was good: he said Trump had a 1/3 chance of winning. 1/3 chances come up one of of three times, so it was no surprise to those us following 538 and who understand how chance works (I'm a quantum physicist and Bayesian epistemologist, so chance is pretty much what I do for a living) that Trump won. Roll a die. Are you shocked when a 1 or 2 comes up? Because that has the same chance as Trump winning in 2016 according to Nate. He's gone off the rails since.
@tjradcliffe @fitterhappierAJ Yep.
Also, I haven't noticed Nate off the rails. Is he disagreeing with you somewhere?
https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/nate-silver-predicts-close-2016-presidential-race/story?id=43329272
@Bertrecords @fitterhappierAJ I've not been following him closely, but I've seen a couple of his comments about covid over the past few years and none of them reflected what the data were telling us. I got the impression that he's forsaken the data for his ego, whereas he used to worship at the same altar I do.
@tjradcliffe @fitterhappierAJ
Remote school vs. in person seems to be his opinion that got the most attention. While I was happy my daughter had remote school, the educational argument on the other side was at least real. He always gets comments about "not following the data", but 9 times out of 10, I don't see it.
@tjradcliffe @fitterhappierAJ My interpretation of Nate's comment, now that I found it, is that he felt AIDS was not being taken seriously, was being diminished, a reasonable perspective for a gay man.