RT @NateSilver538@twitter.com
Good examples of bad COVID takes driving out accurate/fair/sane ones on Twitter. There are some batshit crazy takes on here, occasionally by people with MD or MPH in their titles, but they're a nasty crew to argue with so people with more accurate information give up. https://twitter.com/zeynep/status/1592218335864815617
🐦🔗: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1592245925803855874
@fitterhappierAJ Nate's call for 2016 was good: he said Trump had a 1/3 chance of winning. 1/3 chances come up one of of three times, so it was no surprise to those us following 538 and who understand how chance works (I'm a quantum physicist and Bayesian epistemologist, so chance is pretty much what I do for a living) that Trump won. Roll a die. Are you shocked when a 1 or 2 comes up? Because that has the same chance as Trump winning in 2016 according to Nate. He's gone off the rails since.
@tjradcliffe @fitterhappierAJ My interpretation of Nate's comment, now that I found it, is that he felt AIDS was not being taken seriously, was being diminished, a reasonable perspective for a gay man.