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# AAAS Science: Three-quarters attack rate of SARS-CoV-2 in the Brazilian Amazon during a largely unmitigated epidemic

science.sciencemag.org/content

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) incidence peaked in Manaus, Brazil, in May 2020 with a devastating toll on the city's inhabitants, leaving its health services shattered and cemeteries overwhelmed. Buss et al. collected data from blood donors from Manaus and São Paulo, noted when transmission began to fall, and estimated the final attack rates in October 2020 (see the Perspective by Sridhar and Gurdasani). Heterogeneities in immune protection, population structure, poverty, modes of public transport, and uneven adoption of nonpharmaceutical interventions mean that despite a high attack rate, **herd immunity may not have been achieved.** This unfortunate city has become a sentinel for how natural population immunity could influence future transmission. **Events in Manaus reveal what tragedy and harm to society can unfold if this virus is left to run its course.**

@FailForward Very good paper. It shows that Manaus had, at the time of writing, twice the mortality rate of the UK. But people in Manaus are six times poorer. What is the reason for the different mortality rates, the fact that there were no lockdowns in Manaus or the fact that poor people live there, the paper does not show.
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