“沃梅斯警告，美國需要準備應對中俄對美國本土的直接攻擊。
她說：「未來，如果威懾失效，如果中俄犯下以軍事侵略威脅美國切身利益的戰略錯誤，我們就不能再指望有幾個月的時間，從一個不存在爭端的本土向海外投射戰鬥力，也不能指望迅速建立空中優勢，我們甚至可能面臨針對美國自身的攻擊。」”
核三角關係的牽制糾葛:
" In 2016, North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) allies and Japan lobbied the Obama administration not to adopt a No First Use (NFU) policy on nuclear weapons, as that would have encouraged Russian and Chinese aggression. In 2021 they are again lobbying the Biden Administration to forego NFU-like policies.
This will require private and perhaps even public appeals that the United States abandon the New START Treaty with Russia and put warheads back on its ICBMs and SLBMs, which could increase U.S. deployed warheads back to levels needed to deter both China and Russia."
看這篇提到戈巴契夫政治遺產與習包為首的取美代之雄心壯志還是挺精彩的：
＂俄羅斯作為擁有大量自然資源及先進科研能力的核大國，保留了重要的戰略自主權，中國很難強迫俄國這種合作夥伴簽署俄國不想參與的協議。同時俄中兩國失去了蘇聯時期的意識形態基礎，蘇聯解體後的俄羅斯聯邦，與中國在意識形態上相距甚遠，兩國完全反對彼此的世界觀，所以在這個基礎上，俄中兩國在全力避免陷入敵對狀態及緊張摩擦，同時雙方國力也都有很多弱點，無法一次性消滅對方形成一種權力平衡。這樣做主要是一方面兩國都不希望這些分歧被第三國利用，另外一方面是俄中兩國都認識到，他們必須面對兩國陸地邊界長達4184公里的事實。所以站在國家利益上的角度，俄中兩國的最高共識就是不要因為分歧而引發對抗，而是尋求和平來穩定兩國各自的發展。＂
WSJ這篇則更深入分析美俄中各自地緣考量下的博弈牽制:
[ China and Russia don’t have a formal defense alliance and are unlikely to give up any autonomy through the military and political commitments that an alliance would require, according to analysts. Even so, the countries’ growing ties are seen as enough to make an impact on relations with the U.S.
“Improving the relationship with Moscow is fundamental leverage that China can take,” said Zhu Feng, the director of the Institute of International Studies at Nanjing University. “It’s in the tool kit to respond to America’s containment of China.”
U.S. tensions with Russia give cover to China, said Vasily Kashin, a military expert and China specialist at Moscow’s Higher School of Economics. “The U.S. cannot hope to prevail without concentrating all of its resources on the Pacific,” he said. “Russia, together with Iran, are the countries which are making such concentration almost impossible.” ]
麥卡錫主義後的新冷戰正進入魔高一丈階段: 美俄中三強不只戰略有變，戰術也改弦易轍了。
[ “The DoD needs to compete now and engage in offensive hybrid warfare actions. The United States must respond where competition with China and Russia is taking place today, primarily by playing an enhanced role in gray-zone competition,” read the report, which was led by the Atlantic Council’s Clementine Starling, Air Force Lt. Col. Tyson Wetzel and Christian Trotti ― with former Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel.
The report called for new strategic competition coordinators on the National Security Council with direct access to the president, as well as a new whole-of-government messaging strategy aimed at countering anti-American narratives and reinforcing the rules-based international order. The Pentagon would play a supporting role, “executing offensive and defensive hybrid warfare activities that comport with U.S. values.” ]
https://www.defensenews.com/information-warfare/2022/01/04/why-the-us-should-fight-russia-china-in-the-gray-zone/