"據《產經新聞》報導,075型兩棲攻擊艦排水量達4萬噸,約等同於美軍的胡蜂級,可搭載30架直升機、3艘氣墊登陸艇、多輛戰車進行兩棲登陸作戰。"
"軍方人士今天指出,中共解放軍本階段共建造3艘075型兩棲攻擊艦,目前第1艘「海南艦」已在南部戰區海軍服役,第2艘即將服役並部署在東部戰區海軍,第3艘還在艤裝作業,傳出將在2023年中服役,基於強化南海戰場經營考量,第3艘075型兩棲攻擊艦將不會部署在北部戰區海軍,選擇部署在南部戰區海軍的可能性較高。"
我方上有諜將下缺軍備,亟待修整。
"我方除了關注中國解放軍兩棲艦艇,共軍持續發展直升機「垂直登陸」能力,也值得觀察;且對我方發動攻擊的直升機,未必來自兩棲艦艇,亦可能自福建省的惠安機場、漳浦機場等地起飛,「○七五」等兩棲艦艇則可能成為中繼站,甚至進行「潛力掛載」對我發動下一波攻勢。"
中國的水下載具一樣使用打帶跑的研發模式快速推進:
"前印尼漁夫在沿海作業時,撈到不明的無人水下載具,從外型來研判,很有可能是中國的海翼水下滑翔機。再加上之前中國曾數次在南海與太平洋海域,公開進行多款無人水下載具的自動航行測試,代表中國不只正在這個領域積極發展,還利用這種新裝備來蒐集水文資料與測繪海底地形。而且範圍並不侷限在台灣海峽與南海一帶,已開始向南延伸到印尼周邊海域的重要航道,例如:巽他海峽與望加錫海峽,尋找進出印度洋的安全航道。"
中國偵查與大型攻擊款無人機騷擾日本:
"《共同社》報導,日軍方先是在前日發現一架疑似中國無人機,推測機種為「TB-001」,屬大型攻擊無人機,是自衛隊首次目視確認,也是首度通報有中國無人機通過沖繩飛往太平洋的案例;另外,中國偵察無人機「BZK-005」和「Y9」共3架25日從東海通過沖繩本島和宮古島之間往太平洋行進。
報導提到,連兩日無人機在周邊海域行動引發日方警戒,航空自衛隊戰機緊急升空因應,但對方皆無侵犯領空或對戰機有危險行為。"
中國已有大型運補無人機支援南海的能力:
“The Chinese navy’s South Sea Fleet publicized the maneuver—which used three airstrips on artificial islands that China built atop small reefs in recent years—on an official social-media account last week.
The navy’s disclosure of the mission marks China’s first known public acknowledgment that the bases on the islands have been used to accommodate large aircraft. Last December, satellite images appeared to show one of China’s newly developed Y-20 aircraft on an airstrip at Fiery Cross, which is one of the airstrips used last week. The authenticity of the images, shared online by Ken Joyce, director of product management at the U.S.-based imaging firm Maxar Technologies, hasn’t been confirmed by Chinese officials.”
PLA意圖將老舊無雷達的殲六改裝成無人機以消耗台灣防空飛彈的傳聞看來不是空穴來風:
"The J-6 is a Chinese copy of the Soviet Mikoyan-Gurevich MiG-19 interceptor, whose manned version was officially retired from PLAAF service in 2010. By that time, the type was regarded as obsolete by all measures, with the basic J-6 not even equipped with a radar.
Since then, numerous J-6s have been seen on satellite imagery of two airbases in China’s coastal provinces opposite Taiwan. The airframes on these bases, Liancheng in Fujian province and Yangtang-li, which is also known as Xingning, in neighbouring Guangdong province, are parked in neat rows at the airbases.
Reports emerged from 2013 that China had converted the type into unmanned aircraft, for use either as a decoy to overwhelm adversary air defences by their sheer numbers or as a rudimentary unmanned combat aircraft."
PLA使用無人機影響心理層面:
"This ambiguity in communication could lead to a great deal of confusion and miscommunication.” The only viable communication alternative would be via military and diplomatic channels: Any communication would have to go from the intercepting Taiwanese fighter pilot to their home base, up the chain of command, and then to its Chinese counterpart down to the individual unit and operator of UAV(s). The time required for establishing this communication process would then present itself as valuable time for the PLAAF: While the process is playing out, China’s UAVs would intrude farther into Taiwan’s ADIZ (or potentially even Taiwanese airspace). This would fit with China’s desired messaging toward both domestic and Taiwanese audiences, illustrating Chinese technological capabilities and allowing the PLA to demonstrate how it can intrude deeper and deeper into Taiwanese airspace at will."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/10/how-uavs-could-spark-a-military-conflict-in-the-taiwan-strait/
原本偏偵查情的無人船艇在烏俄戰爭中正式開啟攻擊模式肇端:
"Up to now, the growing number of USV programs in navies have completely overlooked this use case. A survey of the USV programs of any leading navy show many advanced and relevant designs. But they are focused on unarmed tasks such as intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), or mine countermeasures. Some are armed, but more for a defensive role."
"這種蜂群式的無人艇作戰,擁有非常大的潛力。在俄烏戰爭中,海軍實力遠遠不如俄羅斯的烏克蘭,近來就屢屢利用自殺無人艇發動攻擊。不只前一陣子成功偷襲位於克里米亞半島上的塞凡堡(Sevastopol)海軍基地,有效牽制俄羅斯黑海艦隊的行動能力。烏克蘭政府更發動群眾募款,計畫籌集資金來打造上百艘的自殺無人艇,希望利用這種不對稱戰術,反制俄羅斯的海上封鎖線,打開從黑海外銷糧食的關鍵航道。已不斷證明這種蜂群戰術若運用得當,的確能以小搏大,扭轉戰局。"
https://opinion.udn.com/opinion/story/120873/6798201