Perfume @Perfume@qoto.org
2024/02/29停用。
Joined Nov 2020
"無論在美國或日本尚維持著「一個中國」這個表面上的共識。臺灣、日本和美國雖然與中國持續著緊張狀態，但整體來說，一般認為都將高度緊密地維持與中國的經濟關係。如此一來，「21年體制」將演變為「軍事警戒狀態持續，尚未升高成戰爭，日美臺緊密地維持與中國的經濟關係」。"
"話說重頭的話，要從巴勒斯坦自治政府主席阿巴斯（Mahmoud Abbas）在 4 月份以「不確定以色列是否會阻撓選民在東耶路撒冷進行投票」為由，宣佈暫緩原訂於 5 月 22 日舉行的國會改選算起；這次改選距離巴勒斯坦人前一次的投票已經相隔 15 年之久，不少傳聞認為阿巴斯是因為怕選舉不利才藉故延後，反襯出哈瑪斯或許才能真正代表巴勒斯坦人的形象，因此才會積極得撈過界，主張一定要替東耶路撒冷的巴勒斯坦人討回公道。"
https://www.pourquoi.tw/2021/05/17/intlnews-euaf-210510-210516-5/
大洋洲諸小國也面臨美中博弈的壓力:
"In an era of Chinese economic pressure and aggressive influence campaigns, the Freely Associated States (as the COFA signatories are known) have significant protections unavailable to their Pacific Islands peers.
Particularly vulnerable are Nauru, Tuvalu, and Kiribati, whose exceptionally small size and geographic isolation make them especially susceptible to outside coercion. With populations of roughly 10,000, 11,000, and 120,000 respectively, the three rank among the world’s smallest nations. "
南早對這批情蒐軍備異動的報導較為詳盡:
[The Tritons will join other US naval spy planes at Misawa airbase in Aomori, near the northern tip of Honshu Island, including the manned P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft, “giving the navy an opportunity to test out the capability over more congested waters and other different environmental factors”, the US Navy statement said. ]
部署點從關島推進至日本說明情蒐需求增加。
"據《南華早報》報導，今年夏天美海軍MQ-4C海神無人偵察機將首次部署於日本三澤空軍基地，這是美軍首次將這款可長時間在高空偵察的無人機部署到日本，美國海軍表示示MQ-4C是一種無武裝空中偵察系統，此舉將加強美日聯合監偵戰力；五角大樓也證實這項部署，表明此舉是針對「周邊國家日益活躍的海上活動」。"
太陽能板業的強迫勞動疑雲已經從多晶矽製造往上蔓延到原料石英的開採了。
[ Xinjiang Hoshine Silicon Industry mines and processes quartz in the north part of Shanshan Stone Industrial Park, located near the city of Turpan in Xinjiang, China, according to new research. Several miles away, the southern section of the park (shown here) holds two facilities that have been identified as detention centers for the “re-education” of Uyghur people by the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), which has researched alleged abuses against minorities in Xinjiang. ]
"據《產經新聞》報導，075型兩棲攻擊艦排水量達4萬噸，約等同於美軍的胡蜂級，可搭載30架直升機、3艘氣墊登陸艇、多輛戰車進行兩棲登陸作戰。"
阿拜政權不急著介入的理由：避免阿拉伯世界重回外交正常化（亞伯拉罕協定）之前的對抗態勢，也不給哈瑪斯背後的伊朗有利可圖。
“One of Iran’s obvious goals in encouraging Hamas’s rocket offensive is to blow up last year’s Abraham Accords between Israel and several Arab states. The accords were the best opening for Jewish-Arab peace in decades, and they created a potential united front against Iran’s designs for regional dominance.
They also removed the intractable Israeli-Palestinian conflict from the center of Middle Eastern politics and as the main obstacle to larger regional cooperation. The Palestinians were forced to consider a new reality that might cause them to rethink their refusal to accept a reasonable two-state solution. But with the Trump Administration that midwifed the Abraham Accords gone, Hamas and Iran see a chance to return to the trend of the Obama years when U.S.-Israel relations frayed and Iran was on the march.
All of this should give the Biden Administration pause in its rush to court Iran and return to the failed 2015 nuclear agreement. That deal didn’t stop Iran’s weapons research, and it merely delayed the day it will be able to deploy a weapon. Meanwhile, it empowered Iran with more money to arm its regional proxies, including Hamas.”
https://www.wsj.com/articles/israel-hamas-iran-and-biden-11621195618?mod=mhp
“數據顯示，自上週一（10日）雙方開始交火以來，哈瑪斯對以色列投射了約3000枚火箭彈，這遠遠超過了2019年及2006年的紀錄。
2019年11月，以色列與「巴勒斯坦伊斯蘭聖戰運動」（Palestinian Islamic Jihad，PIJ）發生衝突，PIJ在3天內從加薩走廊發射了570多枚火箭彈。
另外在2006年，以色列當時與鄰國黎巴嫩的真主黨（Hezbollah）交戰，真主黨在19天內陸陸續續以火箭彈向以色列的領土轟擊，總數約4500枚。”
“《美國自由亞洲電台》統計後發現，這份維吾爾人名單中有超過400名未成年人被列入恐怖分子嫌疑人，其中甚至有162人年紀未滿5歲，此外還有一些「恐怖分子」是80歲以上的老者。
《美國自由亞洲電台》引述知情人士的說法稱，中國將維吾爾族幼童納入恐怖主義者名單的做法，就有如當年納粹把猶太兒童趕盡殺絕，而整個反恐行動無疑是個藉口，藉此妖魔化維吾爾族，並從肉體上消滅該族人。”
中國武裝攻擊前，致力打擊台灣自衛信心的動機: PLA逾卌年無實戰經驗，且有印太鄰國的包圍壓力。
"Launching a full-scale amphibious incursion 130 kilometers from the mainland would be a daunting exercise, and the PLA has not had major combat experience since 1979. Beijing would risk major resistance from Taipei as well as a devastating military response from Washington. In addition, it would do grave, if not, irreparable damage to its ties with the United States and the European Union, not to mention the four militarily and economically formidable democracies it counts as neighbors: Australia, India, Japan, and South Korea. Indeed, it is hard to think of an action that would do more to jeopardize China’s long-term strategic prospects. It would be far less risky for Beijing to continue its present lines of efforts: increasing its bilateral military advantage across the Taiwan Strait, working to undermine Taipei’s self-confidence, and persuading Taiwan that it will eventually have to acquiesce to resolving cross-strait tensions on China’s terms."
https://thediplomat.com/2021/05/taiwan-at-the-nexus-of-technology-and-geopolitics/
螞蟻這隻金雞母被取卵後的損傷統計:
[ For the quarter ended in March, Alibaba’s net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was 5.5 billion yuan, equivalent to $836 million, compared with a net income of 3.2 billion yuan in the same period a year earlier. Its sales rose 64% to 187.4 billion yuan, equivalent to about $28.6 billion, beating analyst expectations.
In April, China’s State Administration for Market Regulation levied a $2.8 billion fine against Alibaba, equal to 4% of the company’s domestic annual sales. The regulator said its investigation, launched in December, found that the company punished certain merchants who sold goods both on Alibaba and on rival platforms, a practice known as “er xuan yi”—literally, “choose one out of two.”]
法新社這張放推特的新聞照精準抓到左方以色列鐵穹防禦系統與哈瑪斯火箭炮的對決瞬間。
「如果你來到一個陌生的國家，看到那裏的報紙上全是好消息，那麼有好人正在監獄裏。」
“If a person goes to a country and finds their newspapers filled with nothing but good news, there are good men in jail.”
—— Daniel P. Moynihan, 美國社會學家、參議院、駐印度大使、駐聯合國大使
德國和波蘭的戰機互通領空協議擺明是北約在防北極熊~
"Announced on 12 May, the agreement signed in Warsaw between the German and Polish defence ministries will allow Luftwaffe Eurofighters to cross into Poland and Polish air force (Inspektorat Sił Powietrznych: ISP) Lockheed Martin F-16 Fighting Falcon and MiG-29 ‘Fulcrum’ fighters to cross into Germany."
https://www.janes.com/defence-news/news-detail/germany-poland-agree-to-defend-each-others-airspace
"台電直言，停電較長有綠電預測不準、水情不好水力發電不足、用電超乎預期、以及大型機組歲修等四大原因。"
"原本當日預估有10％備轉容量，實際用電量約3550萬瓩，實際是3670萬瓩，多了5％。而水力發電卻因水情少180萬瓩，相對少5％。供電與用電能力上出現一些誤差。"
2024/02/29停用。
Joined Nov 2020
