"FROM THE ANALYST"

RUSSIA AT BREAKING POINT

Why we know the Russians are close to their breaking point on the southern front, is highlighted by one of their VDV Divisions, the 7th.
This unit obtained some of the best, and they were deliberately mixed up with mobiks to strengthen their resolve. And it worked quite well.
But what was wrong with all of this and why is it failing so badly now?
Firstly the VDV were an elite airborne unit. Not regular infantry. There use is as assault and strike, the initial breakthrough forces that crack the front and everything else pours through the gap they create.
Instead, they were watered down with mobiks. They lost their elite shock status and became very good infantry diluted by very bad infantry.
The fact they were deployed in the first place into frontline positions as good infantry, already tells you Russia had nothing much else left.
Now they have been diluted further and suffered heavy losses.
And just to emphasise that what few are left are struggling but are still considered essential, even few in number, they are rushed around like an infantry fire brigade. Used to fill gaps and bolster flagging defences.
Now they have been diluted even further - they’re not even a cohesive unit. They have been broken up into three pieces not even under the same command. And still they are racing from one spot to another as the Ukrainians pop up in one place and they race to defend it, only to find the Ukrainians have gone somewhere else.
This is an exhausting process. Yet Russia depends on the VDV units to hold everything together, while treating its commanders badly and showing little or no gratitude. The Moscow operation seems to think these men are just another expendable in a long line of expendables. They have no real value to Moscow, when they’re gone they’re gone and they’ll try something else.
This inhuman and wasteful approach is all very well in a Stalinist society of unquestioned state control ruled over by an iron fist. Putin might think that’s how it is but nobody sees it that way.
This isn’t an army of 5,000,000 and it never will be. This is an army stretched to breaking point, held together by false promises and lies and only their reputations keep them fighting.
We know and Ukraine knows they’re spread thin.
The VDV are close to their wits end.
Like the Waffen SS, sooner or later they become nothing more than a uniform, rendered down by necessity and broken by attrition and failure.
Russia is near breaking point in the south - everything points that way.
Now is the time to act, don’t squander this chance to finish them: make The West see Ukraine can win this and silence the doubters for good.

Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦