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From "The Analyst":

STRATEGIC MOVES BY RUSSIA SET DANGEROUS PRECEDENTS

Russia, as it practices with deploying tactical nuclear weapons across the western front with its puppet Belarus, announced a series of unilateral coastal border changes.
Russia is changing what it regards as its borders in the Baltic with Lithuania, Estonia and Finland. Both at the Kaliningrad exclave and in the Gulf of Bothnia - the sliver of water that leads to St Petersburg.
These are tightly agreed borders and regarded as settled under the UN Law of The Sea to which Russia is a signatory.
Why are they doing it? It’s clearly a provocation to determine what the governments involved will do about it, and as you might imagine none of them have reacted positively. It’s a bit like the Chinese just suddenly declaring the South China Sea islands are all these because they say so. Nobody stopped them so now they’re de-facto Chinese. China was taken to court as it too is a signatory, but when it went against them and in favour of the Philippines, they ignored the ruling.
This is one of those cases- Russia is imposing its own changes - all the others can do is refuse to accept them and ignore it. That sets up potential zones of conflict when the legal owners face off with the claimant. Clearly the Russians are trying to create friction and tension in an effort to provoke.
They want to see how far ‘not one inch of NATO territory’ will be surrendered actually means when it comes to it.
This is a subtle choice - sea borders rather than a land border - a little more nebulous and at the same time it also looks petty to argue over it in the public eye. But it’s all about testing the lines and if they get pushback. It’s potentially a flashpoint and designed deliberately to destabilise the status quo. This is in all honesty a really dangerous and provocative thing to do when tensions are so high. It’s specifically designed to make things worse.
It will be interesting to see how this unfolds.

A recent satellite launch (COSMOS 2553) was clearly a new Russian weapons system. The satellite quickly went into a position where it began shadowing a US spy satellite and makes frequent manoeuvres to interfere with its orbit and intercept its signals.
This is the second weapons satellite likely launched. A great deal of educated analysis suggests that another oddly manoeuvring satellite is equipped with an EMP device deigned to knock out wide ranging communications satellites in the event of conflict.
The Americans are getting very nervous about these systems. Any attack on spy or early warning/command and communications satellites would be seen as the precursor to a nuclear attack. Russia denies it of course but they always do. Aggressive use of satellites has been increasing in recent times and the Russians again, are doubling down on it. Have no doubt, these are all designed to ratchet up tensions.
Russians are constantly pressing our buttons to see what gets a reaction and what doesn’t.
The summer of 2024 is going to be one of the most dangerous we’ve faced since 1914 - when war came out of nowhere at extraordinary speed after a long period of stability between the great powers.
I have the feeling the Russians are going to test our resolve repeatedly in the coming months as they step up an asymmetric campaign of aggression and disinformation.
Europe, the UK and the US all face crucial elections in the next few months. They will use these to push their agenda and the confusion to do physical and political damage.

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