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From "The Analyst":

KHARKIV UPDATE

The Kharkiv front is still the most active and the most fluid.
Russian forces have been concentrating for yet another attack on the Liptsy front.
Recognising this then Ukrainian air force along with attack helicopters,
The only way the Russians had been able to slow their withdrawal under Ukrainian pressure was by flooding the front with as many infantry as they could find from other sectors, but at best that was a short term fix that wouldn’t last long given their casualty rate and strategy of attack to defend.
Subsequently the Russians gathered their forces Huiliobke, a village they occupy north of Liptsy.
Infantry is their only option. Ukrainian drones massacre their armour even over the border in Russia itself, let alone near the front lines. Ukrainian drone operators are immensely skilled and deeply effective.
The Russians are also stuck with their choice of operating axis, as to the east the area is large open fields and patch woodland - flat and easily controlled and defended by Ukrainian drones, cluster munitions and other artillery.
The Russians had been pushed out of the suburbs of Liptsy once, and the new attack was clearly aiming for the dachas in those suburbs again, which are easier for the Russians to get a foothold in if they make it.
Realising the potential danger, the Ukrainians didn’t wait.
Helicopters and air strikes - possible only because the Russian air defences have been obliterated - targeting enemy positions and destroying advancing forces.
Using a single Ukrainian built BTR-4 they carried out a daring raid into Russian advanced lines shattering the houses they were holed up in and killing any stray Russians lurking around the outskirts of Huiliobke.
The Russians never launched their attack.
By the end of the day the Ukrainians
Had actually pushed the Russians back into the village and retook some ground. By yesterday morning the Russians had begun abandoning some of their advanced positions in the village.
One of the most interesting aspects of this is the lack of Russian tactical VKS aviation. They either can’t see the Ukrainian air strikes coming - and they travel some distance and use the LO-HI-LO strike pattern to drop J-DAM bombs, or they simply don’t want to risk getting close enough to fire their air to air missiles because they’re afraid of Ukrainian Patriots.
Overall then Ukrainians have control over the airspace - an extraordinary achievement without an effective air force - they have control over the drone and EW space, outnumber the Russians, have morale and firepower on their side, and the ability to use limited amounts of armour with relative impunity.
How stupid do the Russians have to be to see that this scenario is not going well for them and they’d
simply be best off abandoning the whole operation?
Ukraine is potentially on the cusp of a decisive victory here. Yet I can’t help but wonder if they think it’s best to attrit Russian forces as they struggle repeatedly to make something of their situation, rather than let them be defeated and retreat into Russia to become a problem somewhere else.
If this is their plan, then it’s some merit. It’s also ironic that the Russians haven’t so much distracted the Ukrainians as they have themselves.

Slava 🇺🇦!

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