From ‘The Analyst’ (Military & Strategic) X: MilStratOnX
UKRAINIAN OPSEC V. RUSSIAN
The one highly commendable aspect of the Kursk campaign was the complete cone of silence the Ukrainians managed to hold until the operation started. Nobody had a clue about it and the Russians missed it completely.
Furthermore that operational security blanket has continued with mappers told to keep quiet and only open source information available to those who can access it.
Ukrainian officially released video tends to be out dated or planned to increase the confusion in the Russian side.
On the Russian side, the mayhem has been verging on the hysteria. Simple questions about who was where and what was what, demands for orders, announcements of retreats, losses, panicky spotting of Ukrainian forces in places they may or may not have been. All of this continues.
The defence ministry has lost so much credibility in Putin’s eyes that the whole operation has been deemed a counter-terrorist activity and command given to the FSB.
I cannot think of anything more likely to sow yet more confusion between command structures and available forces.
Russian inflexibility and the lack of initiative, communication failures, overly centralised command with little local authority for commanders to take action, is specifically designed to ensure authoritarian leadership has control over the state. However it doesn’t work when emergency response is required. It’s always been a major Russian weakness, and we saw it during Prighozhin’s thunder run to Moscow - government doesn’t know what to do.
Meanwhile the Ukrainian disinformation and propaganda machine ensures Russia is kept off guard while maintaining a drip feed of real information to the outside world. Letting open source analysis do some of the work for it - which is having a highly detrimental effect on the Russians.
Their state of confusion is so bad it’s almost shocking.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦!