Ultimately as I said the other day, it will force a major rejig of Russian forces and disrupt almost solidified supply lines out of threat or necessity. At this stage in the war that’s a major upset for the Russians.
This is like World War One in so many ways.
The western front had been stuck in place with few changes of any significance for three and half years. The major German offensive the summer of 1918 exhausted them as Russia’s is testing it.
As the Germans sat behind their defences the allied offensive with mobile forces- the first truly major operation of its kind at Amiens in 1918 broke through in such a way, so fast and so deep it set off a whole chain of cascading events that led to the armistice.
This is potentially such a moment. It holds great promise but it must be executed with utter ruthlessness and determination. Failure really isn’t an option.
And still I cannot help but think Kherson and Crimea hang like overripe fruit, a tempting place for a surprise operation. Maybe just wishful thinking.
‘The Analyst’ MilStratOnX
Slava Ukraine 🇺🇦!