#nuke #energy #covid19 #statistics
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You are more than 5,000 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than from a nuclear power plant accident.
@Pat That seems insanely low. Over 6,5 million people have died from covid so far, and that's over a few years. Nuclear power generation started in 1954, and we have less than 100 deaths from that. I don't know the calculation behind the 5000 number you give, but to me, it seems that number should be about 65000 if you ignore the time frame and about 2 million if you correct for the length of time involved. I would also want to take into consideration that each time an accident has occurred, it's been made impossible for that accident to occur in the future, so even 2 million is certainly too low.
You're right. I used 1182 deaths from nuclear power plant accidents, which includes a mid-range of estimates of indirect deaths from cancers following the accidents. But I simply compared the two death totals without accounting for time.
Real full-production plants have been around about 50 years vs. 3 years for COVID-19, so 5000*50/3=83,3333 times. But also, that doesn't include indirect deaths from the pandemic like increased suicides, violence, etc.
So the actual factor should be about 90,000 to 100,000 times more likely to die from the COVID pandemic than you are from a nuclear power plant accident.
@Pat Ok, but I must say, 1182 seems insanely high. Who on earth came up with that number? To the best of my knowledge, no one with any kind of credentials worth a damn claims over 100. The best estimates I have seen seem to be around 75, including cancer. If I have bad information here, I'd like to correct it. The only nuclear power plant accident killing anyone was Chernobyl, and that took Russians to make happen. It's not like anyone else would even think of doing stuff their way.
