Shapley Curves: A Smoothing PerspectiveOriginating from cooperative game theory, Shapley values have become one of
the most widely used measures for variable importance in applied Machine
Learning. However, the statistical understanding of Shapley values is still
limited. In this paper, we take a nonparametric (or smoothing) perspective by
introducing Shapley curves as a local measure of variable importance. We
propose two estimation strategies and derive the consistency and asymptotic
normality both under independence and dependence among the features. This
allows us to construct confidence intervals and conduct inference on the
estimated Shapley curves. The asymptotic results are validated in extensive
experiments. In an empirical application, we analyze which attributes drive the
prices of vehicles.
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