Gerrymandering and geographic polarization have reduced electoral competition arxiv.org/abs/2508.15885 .AP

Dynamic Graph-Based Forecasts of Bookmakers' Odds in Professional Tennis arxiv.org/abs/2508.15956 .AP

Nonparametric regression for a circular response with error-in-covariate arxiv.org/abs/2508.15962 .ME

Bayesimax Theory: Selecting Priors by Minimizing Total Information arxiv.org/abs/2508.15976 .ST .TH

A nonstationary spatial model of PM2.5 with localized transfer learning from numerical model output arxiv.org/abs/2508.15978 .AP .CO .ME

Comparing Malaria Trends in the Comoros Islands: ARIMA Modeling and Retrospective Analysis arxiv.org/abs/2508.16018 .AP

Optimal Dynamic Regret by Transformers for Non-Stationary Reinforcement Learning arxiv.org/abs/2508.16027 .ML .LG

Evaluation of Time Series Forecasting Models for Predicting Lung Cancer Mortality Rates in the United States: A Comparison with Altuhaifa (2023) Study arxiv.org/abs/2508.16052 .AP

Quasi Instrumental Variable Methods for Stable Hidden Confounding and Binary Outcome arxiv.org/abs/2508.16096 .ME

Ties, Tails and Spectra: On Rank-Based Dependency Measures in High Dimensions arxiv.org/abs/2508.14992 .ST .PR .TH

Untangling Sample and Population Level Estimands in Bayesian Causal Inference arxiv.org/abs/2508.15016 .ME

Sampling by averaging: A multiscale approach to score estimation arxiv.org/abs/2508.15069 .CO .ME .ML

Kernel-based Equalized Odds: A Quantification of Accuracy-Fairness Trade-off in Fair Representation Learning arxiv.org/abs/2508.15084 .ML .LG

Simulating from marginal structural models for hazards, cause-specific hazards and subdistribution hazards using general copulas arxiv.org/abs/2508.15145 .ME

A Unified Framework for Inference with General Missingness Patterns and Machine Learning Imputation arxiv.org/abs/2508.15162 .ME .ML

CSTEapp: An interactive R-Shiny application of the covariate-specific treatment effect curve for visualizing individualized treatment rule arxiv.org/abs/2508.15265 .CO .AP

Efficient sampling from a multivariate normal distribution subject to linear equality and inequality constraints arxiv.org/abs/2508.15292 .CO .AP

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