I can't say @SenatorSinema's dick move surprised me. I wonder if she missed the news that Arizona doesn't have a Republican governor anymore?
@shoq wow - I hadn’t seen this. That was a dick move. And she won’t even say if she will caucus with Democrats. As someone who donated to her in 2018, this really pisses me off. She got a lot of support from people like me solely because she was a Democrat, and now she is spitting in all of our faces. All she’s going to end up doing is probably splitting the Dem-leaning vote and throwing the seat in 2024 to the Republican. 😡 https://apple.news/ArvGT1RxgRWih5aJ7Mk5NZQ
@ceoln @shoq If she’s not running as a Democrat, then she won’t be primaried but Democrats will nominate their own candidate. And Republicans will nominate their candidate and Sinema will presumably get on the ballot as an Independent candidate. In that scenario, the result could very well be that she gets enough voters in the general election in November 2024 who would otherwise have voted for the Democrat, that the Republican ends up winning the most votes.
@ceoln @shoq She is pretty unpopular across the board but it doesn’t take a lot of Democrats or Independents or Never Trump Republicans voting for her to peel away enough votes that otherwise would have gone to the Democratic nominee. If Republicans stick together as they almost always do, then it only takes a few percentage points of voters to vote for her as an Independent to make it so the Republican candidate comes out on top.
@ceoln @shoq I should add that I think this situation is different from the other two Independent US senators because those two (Sanders and King) caucus with Democrats and so Democratic Primary voters in their states do not nominate a Democrat to run against them in their elections but rather just endorse them for reelection. But if Sinema is not going to commit to caucusing with Democrats, the Democrats in Arizona will nominate their own candidate for 2024.
@ceoln @saren Sadly, she's popular with independents and too many Republicans in that very weird state (says Florida man).
Probably not popular enough, but enough that it's not a sure thing we would be successful in primarying her.