estimates
according to some back of the envelope calculations, I need at least 40k € for a year to get anything done (this includes two persons working together, me and somebody else of equal skill level, and an office, no equipment) not really based on a Gantt chart, but whatever can be done must fit into this amount
@amiloradovsky lognormal from percentile intervals for the rescue!
https://www.squiggle-language.com/docs/Guides/DistributionCreation#to
@amiloradovsky It is easy enough to run guesstimates:
But, as they say in docs, you gonna need a bit of training to get overconfidence under control.
The good news here, is the `x to y` model is less underconfidence-sensitive so you can set "protect thy ass" upper ranges and still get an realistic, actionable estimate.
@amiloradovsky a cli version would be nice indeed