Looking to put together a @users group of forecasters (otherwise total strangers) for Metaculus' new competition.
I've been doing decision/prediction markets since HSX first launched, so approx 20 years? But truly, there is NO EXPERIENCE NECESSARY L(
Trust me, "the scientists" are vastly more interested in watching how remotely organized teams of random nerds work together than whether a particular commodity target was met.
Can I at least count on you @freemo ? :)
https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/forecasting-Our-World-in-Data/
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.@freemo @users Most of the questions are...I won't say 'decoy' but largely "unimportant" for the target reviewing audience. These are the key questions to focus on (all global obv):
- CO2 emissions
- Fertility rate
- Poverty, <$10 INT 2011 USD/day
- Cost of sequencing entire human genome
For the years: 2023, 2025, 2032, 2052, 2122
This may be one of those adult situations where those who 'play the game' get awesome participation trophies.