Follow

@DrALJONES

Some things are black and white... the people have the power, and they bare the responsibility as a result.

How much power do the people actually have, though, really?

@Hyolobrika

I mean unless you beleive some conspiracy theory nonsense about the elections being rigged, all of it.

@DrALJONES

But everyone is trapped in thinking that there are only two options and they have to vote for "the lesser of two evils" which means the two evils remain the dominant force which leads back to the first thing I said in an vicious cycle.
And also, there's still that minority of people who vote for a third party or independent, the people who don't vote at all, and the people who aren't informed enough to know that they're both bad.

@Hyolobrika @DrALJONES @freemo In a "first past the post" system it is legitimately one or the other.

@wholemilk

No it isnt, in first pas tthe post you will get a **tendency** towards 2 choices getting the bulk of the votes. But such a system does **not** maintain the same two choices as dominante in each election.

In fact quite the opposite in FPTP systems minor parties or choices tend to go from <5% suppport to a majority choice in a single election cycle.

In the USA for example we have had a primary party be replaced with a third party in a signle election cycle, after which the old primary party never becomes primary again, 8 times in the history of the USA.

So we have plenty of examples that FPTP voting actually does allow for more than 2 parties, it just gives the illusion that it does.

@Hyolobrika @DrALJONES

@freemo @Hyolobrika @DrALJONES What are these 8 times in US history where a third party replaced the primary party?

@wholemilk

1796 - Switch from non- partisan to having two seperate parties take majority, the democratic-republic and federalist

Switches so far: 2

1828 - Another double switch with two new parties coming into replace the old two majorities, the National Republican, and the Democratic

Switches so far: 4

1836 - The Whig party replaces the National Republic party

Switches so far: 5

1856 - The Republican party replaces the whig party

Switches so far: 6

1912 - The BullMoose party replaces the Republican party as a majority

Switches so far: 7

1920 - The Republican party replaces the Bull Moose party again.

Total switches: 8

@Hyolobrika @DrALJONES

@wholemilk

I was mistaken in one point... in one such case the majority party was able to come back, but only once.

@Hyolobrika @DrALJONES

@freemo @Hyolobrika @DrALJONES I don't deny new parties can replace old ones. But besides the very early days in the USA has there been more there 2 dominant political parties?

@wholemilk

Int he very early days we had FPTP just as we do now. So the fact that america has had primary parties switch 8 times, and other FPTP elections outside of the usa see switches all the time too, it disproves the fallacy that FPTP prevents third party from winning, we know for a fact it doesnt.

So that means the reason we dont see third parties win in recent history is clearly for a reason OTHER than FPTP voting, namely, the fantasy that it is a 2 party system when it isnt, or the fantasy that FPTP will guarantee a 2 party system when it doesn't. The only thing that keeps a 2 party system alive is the conspiracy theory that FPTP forces a 2 party system.

@Hyolobrika @DrALJONES

@freemo @Hyolobrika @DrALJONES Again, party switch ups doesn't disprove that FPTP pushes towards two parties. Its not a conspiracy.

@wholemilk

That wasnt what I claimed, in fact the opposite. I said FPTP **does** cause 2 of the choices to generally get the vast majority of votes. What it doesnt cause is the same 2 choices to be picked every time you have a vote... In other words the only thing FPTP causes is the top two choices for any year will get 95%+ of the vote, but it does not in anyway ensure the same 2 top choices from 4 years ago will be the top 2 choices this year.

Thuis GPTP does **not** cause the same two parties to stay in power, it does cause quick jumps in party favoritism without a gradual transition... In other words A: 48% B: 48% C: 4% may switch the next year to A:48% B: 4% C: 48% in the next year without seeing an incremental shift. But there is nothing about FPTP that would prevent parties from changing.

Thus yes, the idea that FPTP means the same 2 parties will remain in power is completely a conspiracy theory. The idea that it creates skewed voting results is not.

@Hyolobrika @DrALJONES

Sign in to participate in the conversation
Qoto Mastodon

QOTO: Question Others to Teach Ourselves
An inclusive, Academic Freedom, instance
All cultures welcome.
Hate speech and harassment strictly forbidden.