Paul Smaldino @psmaldino@qoto.org
- Website
- https://smaldino.com/wp
- @psmaldino
Paradigmatically promiscuous scientist. Modeler. Curmudgeon. Faculty at UC Merced and Santa Fe Institute.
Web: https://smaldino.com/wp/
Bluesky: @psmaldino.bsky.social
Joined Nov 2022
Paul Smaldino
boosted
Doing some research for next lecture, there is actually a recorded lecture from George Pólya on youtube walking a class through problem solving and conjecture. For the 1% of my followers at my nerd level... https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h0gbw-Ur_do
Paul Smaldino
boosted
"The Lost Art of Mathematical Modelling" by Gyllingberg, L., Birhane, A., & Sumpter, D. J. T. (2023).
http://arxiv.org/abs/2301.08559
I'm not gonna toot more about ChatGPT, because I think it's actually a terrifying technology that, much like the terminators, should probably be destroyed. But, also like the terminators, they're fun to watch for a while (until Skynet goes online).
@Prof_BearB @rlmcelreath @conjugateprior @j2bryson @lauretig
I was familiar with the Ground Truth approach (and I like it), hadn't seen the counterfactual SIR approach. I can't help think the latter assumes an awfully small amount of spillover in terms of causality, but regardless it's a neat test example.
@j2bryson @Prof_BearB @conjugateprior @lauretig @rlmcelreath
It’s not. I don’t really see how CI would work for a purely mathematical model, since the relationships are all spelled out in the equations. No?
@j2bryson Last week I posted my new book cover to both Mastodon and Twitter at the exact same time.
Mastodon: 9 boosts, 36 favorites, 9 comments
Twitter: 362 retweets, 4339 likes, 74 comments
🤷♂️
@jorgeapenas@ecoevo.social Obviously you’re right, but people may use “obviously” to earnestly signal to the listener that while stating some info is important to their point, they are not assuming the listener doesn’t know it. And obbbbviously the word could never be used sarcastically to, like, signal that something is a commonly-held but wrong belief.
@cas_group unfortunately not. Hopefully I can put an excerpt online at some point. I’m a big fan of the McElreath and Boyd book. My book has a somewhat different scope — I think it’s complementary to theirs.
They really boost my toot, if you know what I mean.
California has been hit really hard. This photoessay conveys the extent of the damage from the ongoing storms better than other news stories I've seen. https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/10/weather/gallery/california-weather-flooding/index.html
@twaring thanks Tim!
@Jslez Thanks! Unfortunately not out till the fall, but can be pre-ordered. Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0691224145?tag=it_books_com-20 PUP: https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691224145/modeling-social-behavior
@sam@fediscience.org @jyoshimi
@hasmis @conjugateprior The good philosophers of science are worth engaging with. Here you go. https://conservancy.umn.edu/handle/11299/184647
@reliablyjeff@sciences.social PUP: https://press.princeton.edu/books/paperback/9780691224145/modeling-social-behavior Amazon: https://www.amazon.com/dp/0691224145?tag=it_books_com-20
@reliablyjeff@sciences.social Thanks! Unfortunately not till October. Available for pre-order now.
@conjugateprior @hasmis I read a bunch of Hempel when I was working on the book, and liked a lot about his take on science. That cover is dope.
- Website
- https://smaldino.com/wp
- @psmaldino
Paradigmatically promiscuous scientist. Modeler. Curmudgeon. Faculty at UC Merced and Santa Fe Institute.
Web: https://smaldino.com/wp/
Bluesky: @psmaldino.bsky.social
Joined Nov 2022
