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@grrrr_shark

From what I know, the most important failure mode of rapid tests (and to a lesser extent ~any tests) is that they will yield a very large fraction of false negatives early on. Do you know any estimates of repeated false negative probability over 2-3 tests over 2-3 days (i.e. probability of 2-3 tests being negative over 2-3 days while sick with COVID and symptomatic)?

When I tried to estimate it most recently, I ended up finding things that suggested wildly different rates of singular false negatives across different test manufacturers (by more than 2x IIRC), but sadly couldn't find anything about the repeated testing setup (I baselessly suspected that it would decrease the inter-manufacturer spread).

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