@kreyren she wasn't doing too great in polls I saw prior to the crisis either. If anything, the race tightened just in the final ~month.
@takloufer Dunno i saw her doing good in pre-crisis
@kreyren hmm, so this is the poll avg from the wiki. Doesn't look likely to me at any point, and thr closest it got was well into the war
@kreyren idk, seems to me they've been polling potential matchups incl ofc this one consistently since 2019, just look at the tables w all the polls and pollsters - its massive, as well as the edit history - its been public all this time. Her 1st rnd showings were somewhat better at points, (though not in the months pre-crisis) perhaps thats what you saw: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_French_presidential_election
@takloufer possible