In the absence of McCarthy reaching out to make a deal with them for rules changes or other concessions, Democrats in the House are reportedly united in a decision NOT to help him stay in the Speaker's seat. This means that the odds of McCarthy losing that seat today, while not certain, are quite high.

This would also paralyze the House (with just weeks until the next government shutdown deadline) until a new Speaker is in place -- no other House business can proceed.

As you may recall, McCarthy required 15 ballots over 4 days to become Speaker originally, the most ballots needed for a Speaker since before the Civil War.

@lauren

It needs to be made explicit that this would also be Democrats being united in a decision NOT to keep the House operating.

For better or worse.

@volkris McCarthy cannot be trusted. It's a GOP House, not a Democratic House. You know the old saying, "Fool me once, shame on you -- fool me twice, shame on me."

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@lauren

Meh, trust is nice and can help grease skids, but it's not required. The Rules of the House are there for use regardless of trust.

Members can force action regardless of the Speaker if they have to, so this matter of trusting McCarthy is a bit overblown.

And that's not even getting into whether he can actually be trusted since we don't know what happens behind the scenes and what agreements he might be 100% upholding despite what politicians are saying publicly.

Keep in mind that McCarthy's actions can often be seen as protecting members from votes they don't want to take, so he might be doing what all speakers do and satisfying his members that he negotiated with.

It's all quite the facade, but it's up to them to make it work since they're on the inside.

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