The burden of proof is by now squarely on those who think Trump won't be the 2024 Republican nominee.
@pbump The real test will come with the first primaries.
Given the structure of the US election system, everything changes once the field is narrowed down.
So we'll see what happens. Trump is extremely vulnerable, but it's hard to predict how that vulnerability will play out once there's someone in a position to really take advantage of it.
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@MattFerrel Yeah, I agree that is most likely, but it's a chaotic system so it's hard to predict with certainty at this point.
Small changes may have big impacts.
