Covering the Election: the One-Year Countdown Begins.
Everyone was 'surprised' by Donald Trump coming out ahead in 2016. In elections since then, including this week's, the 'surprise' has consistently run the other way. Hey, fellow reporters: Listen up! - @JFallows
#USPolitics #Journalism
https://open.substack.com/pub/fallows/p/covering-the-election-the-one-year?r=103mi&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=email
Too few people consider that when a person is surprised by the course of events, it means that person either didn't know what they were talking about or had really poor judgment.
Either way, that the person was surprised is not in itself news. It's only an indicator that the person is unreliable.
We really need to do a better job of calling out surprise and then discounting the future statements of the people who, it turned out, didn't know what was going on.
